Crystal Palace vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 2
CRY
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRY
2 - 2
LEI
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 1
BHA
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LIV
3 - 0
CRY
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
CRY
3 - 0
TOT
13%
19%
68%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 3
TOT
16%
20%
63%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
WOL
2 - 1
NEW
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 1
NEW
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
NEW
1 - 1
LEE
34%
25%
42%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
MUD
4 - 1
NEW
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | -1 |