Crystal Palace vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
CRY
0 - 0
IPS
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
STO
2 - 2
CRY
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1996 |
HUR
1 - 1
CRY
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1996 |
CRY
0 - 0
WBA
61%
23%
16%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
CRY
3 - 1
OLD
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1996 |
POR
0 - 2
MAC
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1996 |
MAC
1 - 2
BAR
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1996 |
MAC
2 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1996 |
STO
2 - 1
MAC
34%
29%
37%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1996 |
BOL
1 - 0
MAC
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |