Crystal Palace vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
19.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
SUN
2 - 1
CRY
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
LEE
1 - 2
CRY
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
CRY
2 - 1
DER
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
CRY
2 - 1
SOU
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1991 |
COV
3 - 1
CRY
51%
26%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1991 |
MAC
3 - 3
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1991 |
COV
3 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1991 |
MAC
1 - 1
WIM
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
MAC
0 - 3
LIV
20%
24%
57%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1991 |
MAC
3 - 0
LUT
51%
25%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |