Crystal Palace vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1970 |
LIV
3 - 0
CRY
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
ARS
2 - 0
CRY
78%
16%
7%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
CRY
1 - 1
IPS
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1970 |
CRY
0 - 0
WHU
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
DER
3 - 1
CRY
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1970 |
MAC
0 - 1
SUN
73%
17%
9%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1970 |
S04
1 - 0
MAC
44%
26%
30%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1970 |
MUD
1 - 2
MAC
58%
24%
19%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
0 - 1
DER
64%
21%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1970 |
MAC
1 - 5
WHU
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |