FA Cup 1/32
Global 2-1
Crystal Palace vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
LEI
0 - 0
CRY
41%
27%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 0
CRY
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
CRY
3 - 1
NOR
58%
24%
18%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
SHE
2 - 2
CRY
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
CRY
2 - 1
DON
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
LEI
3 - 0
LEY
63%
23%
14%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
LEI
0 - 0
CRY
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2008 |
LEI
2 - 1
HER
67%
22%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 1
LEI
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LEI
4 - 0
POS
47%
28%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |