Crystal Palace vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
18.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
CRY
1 - 2
MAC
25%
25%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
OPA
3 - 1
CRY
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
MID
2 - 1
CRY
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2004 |
CRY
0 - 2
CHL
15%
24%
61%
|
72 | 91 | 19 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
CRY
1 - 3
EVE
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
HAR
4 - 1
GUL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
OLD
3 - 2
HAR
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
HAR
1 - 1
BAR
62%
21%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
HAR
2 - 1
COL
52%
24%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
SWI
3 - 0
HAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |