Crystal Palace vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CRY
4 - 2
WOL
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
CRY
2 - 1
PLY
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
BUR
0 - 0
CRY
49%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2002 |
CRY
0 - 0
LEI
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2002 |
COV
1 - 0
CRY
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
LEI
3 - 1
DER
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
MAN
1 - 3
DER
27%
25%
48%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
DER
1 - 2
BUR
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2002 |
DER
2 - 0
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2002 |
ROT
2 - 1
DER
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |