Crystal Palace vs Colchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
18.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
CRY
0 - 0
CAR
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
PNE
0 - 1
CRY
44%
28%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CRY
0 - 2
WOL
52%
26%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2008 |
BRI
1 - 1
CRY
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
CRY
0 - 1
IPS
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Colchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2008 |
PLY
4 - 1
COL
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
COL
0 - 1
WOL
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
COL
1 - 2
BRI
45%
26%
28%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
HUL
1 - 1
COL
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2008 |
COL
2 - 1
PNE
42%
26%
32%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |