Crystal Palace vs Cheltenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
14%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
CRY
2 - 2
GIL
49%
24%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2002 |
SHW
0 - 0
CRY
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
WAT
3 - 3
CRY
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
CRY
0 - 1
DER
46%
25%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CRY
4 - 2
WOL
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Cheltenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2002 |
CHE
1 - 4
NOT
56%
23%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2002 |
MAN
0 - 2
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 0
SWI
59%
23%
18%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
CHE
2 - 3
BRI
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
NOR
0 - 3
CHE
65%
22%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +2 |