Crystal Palace vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
39.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 1973 |
ARS
1 - 0
CRY
76%
17%
8%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
CRY
1 - 3
WHU
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1973 |
CRY
0 - 1
SHE
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
CRY
1 - 1
WOL
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1973 |
CRY
0 - 0
BIR
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1973 |
MAC
0 - 1
CHL
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1973 |
NEW
1 - 1
CHL
53%
24%
22%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1973 |
ARS
2 - 1
CHL
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1973 |
CHL
2 - 2
ARS
51%
24%
25%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
WBA
1 - 1
CHL
38%
27%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |