Crystal Palace vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
22%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
HUL
1 - 1
CRY
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
CRY
1 - 0
COV
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
NOR
0 - 1
CRY
45%
26%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
CRY
0 - 2
SOU
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LUT
2 - 1
CRY
41%
25%
33%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
4 - 0
WOL
40%
28%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
SOU
0 - 3
CAR
41%
27%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
CAR
4 - 1
LUT
42%
27%
31%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2006 |
PLY
3 - 3
CAR
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
PNE
2 - 1
CAR
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |