Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2021 |
SOU
3 - 1
CRY
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 2
CRY
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
CRY
0 - 2
MAC
6%
16%
78%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 1
CRY
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CRY
1 - 4
CHL
13%
21%
67%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2021 |
ASV
0 - 0
EVE
31%
25%
45%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 3
MUD
18%
23%
60%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
EVE
1 - 2
ASV
62%
22%
17%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 2
WBA
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
ASV
1 - 2
MAC
9%
17%
73%
|
82 | 95 | 13 | 0 |