Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
31.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1990 |
CRY
1 - 1
DER
48%
27%
24%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
EVE
4 - 0
CRY
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1990 |
CAM
0 - 1
CRY
28%
24%
48%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1990 |
TOT
0 - 1
CRY
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1990 |
CRY
1 - 1
SHW
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1990 |
QPR
1 - 1
ASV
54%
25%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1990 |
DER
0 - 1
ASV
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1990 |
OLD
3 - 0
ASV
50%
23%
28%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1990 |
ASV
2 - 0
LUT
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
COV
2 - 0
ASV
49%
26%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |