Crystal Palace vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
48.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
WOL
1 - 1
CRY
82%
13%
6%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
CRY
0 - 1
COV
48%
26%
27%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
CRY
0 - 2
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
SOU
2 - 0
CRY
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1972 |
CRY
0 - 2
WBA
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
ARS
1 - 0
IPS
65%
22%
13%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
SHE
1 - 0
ARS
36%
28%
36%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
ARS
1 - 0
SOU
66%
21%
13%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1972 |
ARS
2 - 0
BIR
69%
20%
11%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
NOR
3 - 2
ARS
22%
30%
48%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |