Europa League 1/16
Global 5-1
Crvena Zvezda vs Zalgiris Vilnius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
CRV
2 - 0
GAL
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
GAL
1 - 1
CRV
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1988 |
CRV
1 - 1
ACM
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1988 |
ACM
1 - 1
CRV
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
CRV
3 - 0
DUN
92%
6%
3%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Zalgiris Vilnius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1989 |
GÖT
1 - 0
ZAL
71%
16%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1989 |
ZAL
2 - 0
GÖT
36%
24%
40%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
AUS
5 - 2
ZAL
77%
13%
10%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
ZAL
2 - 0
AUS
27%
22%
51%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |