Europa League 1/32
Global 1-1
Crvena Zvezda vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
CRV
5 - 1
BBD
67%
19%
13%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
BOR
2 - 1
CRV
46%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2005 |
CRV
4 - 0
INT
61%
21%
18%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CRV
3 - 1
VOZ
84%
12%
5%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2005 |
INT
1 - 3
CRV
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2005 |
VIT
0 - 2
SPB
41%
28%
32%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
SPB
1 - 0
PEN
65%
22%
14%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2005 |
UDL
0 - 1
SPB
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
CEL
2 - 0
SPB
63%
23%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
MOR
2 - 1
SPB
34%
28%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |