Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 3-0
Crvena Zvezda vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
CRV
3 - 0
RAD
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
CRV
2 - 0
FCI
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
FCI
1 - 1
CRV
28%
24%
48%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
FLO
3 - 3
CRV
15%
20%
65%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
CRV
3 - 0
FLO
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 1
VIT
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 0
BBU
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 2
ING
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
SPA
1 - 4
DYN
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2017 |
SPA
3 - 1
FKM
81%
14%
6%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |