Champions League Last 16
Global 7-1
Crvena Zvezda vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
RBK
0 - 3
CRV
41%
23%
35%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
PAN
2 - 1
CRV
2%
24%
73%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
CRV
3 - 0
PAN
97%
2%
1%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 1
CRV
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1986 |
CRV
0 - 2
ATM
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
RBK
0 - 3
CRV
41%
23%
35%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
KON
2 - 1
RBK
51%
25%
25%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
RBK
1 - 0
IKS
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
HAM
1 - 1
RBK
48%
25%
26%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
LIN
1 - 1
RBK
39%
23%
38%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |