Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-4Crvena Zvezda vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1986 |
CRV
4 - 1
RBK
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1986 |
RBK
0 - 3
CRV
41%
23%
35%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1986 |
PAN
2 - 1
CRV
2%
24%
73%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
CRV
3 - 0
PAN
97%
2%
1%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1986 |
ATM
1 - 1
CRV
65%
21%
14%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1987 |
SAB
0 - 1
RMA
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1987 |
OSA
1 - 2
RMA
9%
19%
72%
|
88 | 32 | 56 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
RMA
2 - 1
CAD
87%
10%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
MLL
1 - 0
RMA
25%
26%
50%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1987 |
RMA
6 - 1
CAD
84%
12%
5%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |