Crvena Zvezda vs Radnik Surdulica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ČUK
2 - 7
CRV
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
CRV
1 - 5
BOR
75%
16%
9%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CRV
2 - 0
VOZ
82%
13%
6%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RAD
1 - 2
CRV
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CRV
2 - 0
MET
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Radnik Surdulica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
RAD
2 - 1
BEO
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
BOR
4 - 2
RAD
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
RAD
1 - 1
RAD
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
VOJ
2 - 3
RAD
75%
17%
8%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
RAD
1 - 0
FKS
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |