Crvena Zvezda vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.7%
4.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
CRV
3 - 0
BSK
90%
8%
2%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
FKS
1 - 1
CRV
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CRV
3 - 1
ČUK
83%
12%
6%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JAV
2 - 4
CRV
8%
19%
73%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CRV
4 - 1
VOJ
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
MLA
1 - 1
RAD
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
RAD
2 - 0
BOR
50%
27%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
NAP
2 - 0
RAD
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
FKS
0 - 1
RAD
59%
24%
18%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
RAD
1 - 1
ČUK
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |