Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-1
Crvena Zvezda vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
PAO
1 - 0
CRV
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1974 |
ATM
0 - 0
CRV
76%
14%
10%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1974 |
CRV
0 - 2
ATM
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1973 |
LIV
1 - 2
CRV
83%
11%
6%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
CRV
2 - 1
LIV
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1974 |
PAO
1 - 0
CRV
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1974 |
PAO
2 - 2
ACM
20%
23%
58%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1974 |
ACM
3 - 0
PAO
86%
9%
5%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1973 |
PAO
4 - 0
LYO
59%
19%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 1973 |
LYO
3 - 3
PAO
64%
17%
19%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |