Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
4º
1º
8
6º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 65 |
1º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 55 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 53 |
3º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 50 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
7 | 48 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 45 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 43 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 42 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 39 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 38 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
8 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 34 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
10 | 30 |
14º
|
19.5% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 28 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
1 | 18 |
16º
|
74.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 80.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 4
CRV
10%
19%
70%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 2
MLA
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CRV
4 - 0
JED
81%
14%
6%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
CRV
0 - 1
TAL
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
ZEN
1 - 2
CRV
54%
22%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NPA
0 - 0
BEO
49%
26%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NPA
3 - 2
FKS
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
PET
0 - 2
NPA
38%
24%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
OLY
1 - 0
NPA
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2024 |
APO
2 - 2
NPA
63%
22%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |