Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.8%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.5%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.3%
3.2%
Win probability
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
CRV
3 - 0
BBL
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
CRV
2 - 1
NAP
80%
13%
6%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2020 |
MET
0 - 1
CRV
15%
20%
65%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
CRV
2 - 1
RNS
82%
13%
5%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
TSC
2 - 1
CRV
21%
22%
57%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
MET
1 - 1
NPA
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2020 |
MET
2 - 0
NPA
66%
21%
13%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2020 |
NPA
1 - 1
RAD
43%
28%
29%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
BAK
4 - 0
NPA
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2020 |
NPA
3 - 0
DVR
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |