Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 3
CRV
20%
25%
55%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
CRV
3 - 1
PAR
56%
22%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MLA
0 - 3
CRV
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
CRV
1 - 0
JAV
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
RAD
0 - 2
CRV
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
NPA
1 - 0
BEO
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
BOR
3 - 0
NPA
37%
30%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NPA
1 - 0
RAD
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
VOJ
4 - 1
NPA
66%
20%
13%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2015 |
NPA
0 - 0
FKS
60%
24%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |