Crvena Zvezda vs Novi Pazar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RAD
1 - 1
CRV
28%
28%
44%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
CRV
2 - 1
JAV
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
CRV
0 - 3
VOJ
65%
20%
15%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
SLO
1 - 2
CRV
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
CRV
1 - 3
BEO
81%
12%
7%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Novi Pazar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
NPA
1 - 0
33%
29%
39%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
RAD
0 - 0
NPA
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
NPA
0 - 2
HAJ
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RAD
2 - 0
NPA
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
NPA
2 - 2
JAV
34%
31%
35%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |