Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 8-2
Crvena Zvezda vs Nistru Otaci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
NAP
2 - 1
CRV
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2003 |
CRV
0 - 1
SME
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
CRV
1 - 0
RAD
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2003 |
HAJ
3 - 2
CRV
44%
28%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2003 |
CRV
1 - 0
JAV
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nistru Otaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
NIS
4 - 3
UAC
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2003 |
NIS
1 - 0
TIR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2003 |
ZIM
3 - 0
NIS
65%
21%
14%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2003 |
NIS
3 - 1
ACH
68%
21%
11%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
NIS
1 - 0
SHF
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |