Europa League 1/64
Global 2-3
Crvena Zvezda vs Montpellier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1999 |
ZEM
0 - 4
CRV
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1999 |
CRV
1 - 0
FKN
69%
17%
13%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CRV
0 - 0
ZEL
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
FKN
2 - 3
CRV
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
BOR
2 - 2
CRV
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
MPL
3 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
NAN
3 - 0
MPL
44%
27%
30%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1999 |
HSV
1 - 1
MPL
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
MPL
2 - 3
MON
35%
27%
39%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
STR
2 - 0
MPL
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |