Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
BEO
2 - 4
CRV
22%
26%
52%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
CRV
1 - 2
RAD
88%
10%
3%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
ČUK
2 - 0
CRV
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
CRV
2 - 0
RAD
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
FKD
1 - 3
CRV
17%
26%
58%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
MLA
1 - 0
RAD
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
MLA
4 - 2
BEO
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
RAD
2 - 3
MLA
33%
28%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MLA
2 - 2
ČUK
27%
29%
44%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
RAD
3 - 1
MLA
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |