Crvena Zvezda vs Mladost Lučani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.2%
6.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
NAP
0 - 1
CRV
20%
26%
54%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2008 |
ČUK
1 - 1
CRV
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
CRV
2 - 0
BEO
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BZR
2 - 2
CRV
28%
25%
47%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2008 |
CRV
4 - 1
PAR
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Mladost Lučani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2008 |
MLA
2 - 1
ČUK
37%
29%
35%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
MLA
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
BEO
1 - 1
MLA
71%
20%
10%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MLA
1 - 1
BZR
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2007 |
PAR
4 - 0
MLA
81%
13%
6%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |