Crvena Zvezda vs Metalac GM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.1%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.4%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CRV
4 - 1
BEO
82%
12%
6%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
BAK
1 - 3
CRV
17%
22%
61%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CRV
4 - 2
BOR
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
CRV
3 - 0
VOJ
64%
20%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
RAD
0 - 3
CRV
18%
25%
57%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Metalac GM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
PAR
16%
23%
60%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
MET
3 - 3
BEO
43%
26%
31%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BEO
1 - 0
MET
52%
26%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
MLA
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
BOR
2 - 1
MET
55%
27%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |