Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-5
Crvena Zvezda vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
40.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
CRV
75%
14%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1957 |
CRV
2 - 1
NOR
58%
20%
22%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
NOR
2 - 2
CRV
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
CRV
9 - 1
STD
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 12 | 68 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1957 |
STD
0 - 5
CRV
31%
21%
48%
|
79 | 12 | 67 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1958 |
ARS
4 - 5
MUD
35%
23%
43%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1958 |
MUD
7 - 2
BOL
77%
14%
9%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1958 |
MUD
2 - 1
CRV
75%
14%
11%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1958 |
LEE
1 - 1
MUD
23%
22%
56%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1957 |
MAC
2 - 2
MUD
40%
22%
38%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |