Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 5-3
Crvena Zvezda vs Lyngby BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
7.02
Expected goals
10-0
2.9%
+10
2.9%
9-0
4.1%
10-1
2.6%
+9
6.7%
8-0
5.3%
9-1
3.7%
10-2
1.2%
+8
10.2%
7-0
6%
8-1
4.8%
9-2
1.7%
10-3
0.4%
+7
12.8%
6-0
6%
7-1
5.5%
8-2
2.2%
9-3
0.5%
10-4
0.1%
+6
14.2%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
5.4%
7-2
2.5%
8-3
0.7%
9-4
0.1%
10-5
<0%
+5
13.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
2.5%
7-3
0.8%
8-4
0.2%
9-5
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
0.3%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
2.6%
1%
Draw
0-0
<0%
1-1
0.2%
2-2
0.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
1%
0.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0%
1-2
0.1%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
0.3%
0-2
0%
1-3
0%
2-4
0%
3-5
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
LYN
2 - 2
CRV
2%
24%
74%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
FCA
2 - 2
CRV
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
CRV
2 - 0
FCA
71%
18%
12%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1984 |
SLB
2 - 0
CRV
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1984 |
CRV
3 - 2
SLB
45%
25%
29%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lyngby BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
LYN
2 - 2
CRV
2%
24%
74%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1985 |
GAL
2 - 3
LYN
40%
23%
37%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1985 |
LYN
1 - 0
GAL
71%
16%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1984 |
LYN
1 - 2
SPA
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1984 |
SPA
0 - 0
LYN
86%
9%
5%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |