Europa League 1/32
Global 5-3
Crvena Zvezda vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1976 |
LPL
2 - 1
CRV
51%
23%
27%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1975 |
HSV
4 - 0
CRV
69%
17%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
HSV
59%
20%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
CRV
1 - 1
FCU
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
FCU
1 - 3
CRV
47%
23%
29%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
FKM
0 - 0
LPL
41%
28%
30%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1976 |
LPL
2 - 1
CRV
51%
23%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1976 |
LPL
2 - 2
LSO
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1976 |
BER
2 - 2
LPL
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1976 |
LPL
1 - 2
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |