Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 7-0
Crvena Zvezda vs Lillestrom SK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
LSK
0 - 4
CRV
32%
25%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
CRV
1 - 2
AND
48%
25%
27%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1982 |
AND
2 - 1
CRV
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
CRV
3 - 0
BAN
75%
15%
10%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
BAN
3 - 1
CRV
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Lillestrom SK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
HAM
1 - 0
LSK
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1982 |
LSK
1 - 0
RBK
60%
23%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
LSK
0 - 4
CRV
32%
25%
43%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
SOG
0 - 3
LSK
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
LSK
4 - 0
FFK
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |