Europa League 1/64
Global 4-2
Crvena Zvezda vs Leicester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
34%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
CRV
4 - 0
BEO
59%
21%
19%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
VOJ
0 - 2
CRV
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
LEI
1 - 1
CRV
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
CRV
3 - 1
SUT
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2000 |
RAD
1 - 3
CRV
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Leicester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
LEI
1 - 1
EVE
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
CHL
0 - 2
LEI
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2000 |
LEI
1 - 1
CRV
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
LEI
1 - 0
SOU
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
LEI
2 - 1
IPS
63%
22%
16%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |