Champions League Last 16
Global 4-3
Crvena Zvezda vs IFK Norrköping analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
22%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
NOR
2 - 2
CRV
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1957 |
CRV
9 - 1
STD
81%
11%
8%
|
80 | 12 | 68 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1957 |
STD
0 - 5
CRV
31%
21%
48%
|
79 | 12 | 67 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1957 |
FIO
0 - 0
CRV
60%
21%
20%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1957 |
CRV
0 - 1
FIO
55%
21%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
IFK Norrköping
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1957 |
NOR
2 - 0
AIK
51%
21%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1957 |
NOR
2 - 2
CRV
61%
19%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1957 |
SAN
2 - 2
NOR
43%
23%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1957 |
DJU
2 - 4
NOR
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1957 |
NOR
2 - 0
GÖT
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |