Champions League 1/16
Global 10-2
Crvena Zvezda vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
95.6%
Win probability
4.74
Expected goals
10-0
0.9%
+10
0.9%
9-0
1.8%
10-1
0.4%
+9
2.2%
8-0
3.4%
9-1
0.9%
10-2
0.1%
+8
4.4%
7-0
5.8%
8-1
1.6%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
7.7%
6-0
8.6%
7-1
2.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
11.7%
5-0
10.9%
6-1
4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
15.6%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
5.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
17.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.8%
2.6%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
1.2%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
2.6%
0.8%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.3%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
0.7%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
2-4
0%
-2
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
HIB
1 - 2
CRV
24%
26%
51%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
CRV
0 - 1
INT
63%
23%
15%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
INT
1 - 1
CRV
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
CRV
2 - 0
BAS
59%
22%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 0
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
HIB
1 - 2
CRV
24%
26%
51%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
WAT
4 - 0
HIB
58%
19%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
HIB
1 - 0
WAT
57%
20%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 1979 |
HIB
1 - 0
DUN
43%
22%
35%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
DUN
2 - 0
HIB
66%
17%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |