Crvena Zvezda vs FK Spartak Subotica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
2º
1º
25
5º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
CRV
4 - 1
FTC
61%
20%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MNS
0 - 4
CRV
17%
21%
63%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
MAV
0 - 2
CRV
6%
14%
81%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CRV
1 - 0
NAP
79%
14%
7%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
TRA
2 - 1
CRV
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FK Spartak Subotica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 2
RAD
56%
25%
19%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
3 - 0
FKS
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MNS
1 - 0
FKS
36%
27%
37%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
FKS
1 - 2
NAP
56%
25%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
NPA
2 - 0
FKS
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |