Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-0
Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BSK
1 - 4
CRV
15%
25%
60%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
CRV
4 - 0
SME
80%
14%
6%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
JAV
1 - 3
CRV
17%
27%
56%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
CRV
1 - 0
FKS
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CRV
0 - 2
VOJ
59%
21%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 0
JAG
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
BEO
1 - 2
PAR
30%
26%
45%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 0
SLO
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NPA
1 - 1
PAR
11%
22%
67%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
MET
0 - 3
PAR
11%
22%
68%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |