Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 4-2
Crvena Zvezda vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
13.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1999 |
CRV
0 - 0
ZEL
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
FKN
2 - 3
CRV
41%
25%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
BOR
2 - 2
CRV
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
CRV
2 - 2
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
ZRE
2 - 1
CRV
49%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
FKN
2 - 3
CRV
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1997 |
WLO
8 - 0
FKN
76%
14%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 1997 |
FKN
0 - 2
WLO
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
ALZ
1 - 0
FKN
51%
24%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
FKN
1 - 2
ALZ
57%
22%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |