Qualif. Champions Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Crvena Zvezda vs FK Bodo Glimt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 1
CRV
56%
21%
23%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
ČUK
1 - 4
CRV
41%
24%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CRV
4 - 1
NPA
71%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
TOD
0 - 4
CRV
10%
19%
70%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 2
MLA
74%
17%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
FK Bodo Glimt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
6 - 0
S08
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
2 - 1
CRV
56%
21%
23%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 1
JAG
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VKG
1 - 1
BOG
38%
23%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
BOG
31%
23%
46%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |