Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 1-7
Crvena Zvezda vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1964 |
GLA
3 - 1
CRV
66%
18%
16%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
CRV
4 - 2
GLA
54%
21%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1964 |
GLA
3 - 1
CRV
64%
19%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1963 |
CRV
2 - 0
ROM
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1963 |
ROM
3 - 0
CRV
68%
17%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
BRE
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1965 |
ATL
1 - 1
FIO
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1965 |
GEN
0 - 3
FIO
34%
25%
42%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 1965 |
GEN
4 - 1
FIO
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1965 |
FIO
2 - 0
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |