Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Crvena Zvezda vs Ferencvárosi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
18.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
FTC
2 - 1
CRV
64%
19%
17%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
CRV
2 - 0
RMA
49%
23%
28%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
RMA
2 - 0
CRV
79%
13%
9%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1974 |
CRV
5 - 1
AVE
88%
8%
4%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
AVE
1 - 6
CRV
20%
21%
59%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Ferencvárosi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1975 |
FTC
2 - 1
CRV
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1975 |
FTC
1 - 1
MFF
74%
15%
11%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
MFF
1 - 3
FTC
49%
23%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1974 |
FTC
0 - 0
LIV
30%
28%
42%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1974 |
LIV
1 - 1
FTC
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | +1 |