Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Crvena Zvezda vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
CZJ
3 - 2
CRV
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1970 |
UTA
1 - 3
CRV
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
CRV
3 - 0
UTA
63%
19%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1970 |
CRV
4 - 0
UJP
54%
22%
24%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
UJP
2 - 0
CRV
64%
20%
17%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1971 |
CZJ
3 - 1
SGD
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1971 |
ZWI
1 - 0
CZJ
24%
27%
50%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1971 |
CZJ
3 - 2
CRV
78%
14%
8%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1970 |
VOW
4 - 4
CZJ
37%
27%
36%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1970 |
CZJ
5 - 1
CHL
77%
15%
8%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |