Champions League Last 16
Global 4-3
Crvena Zvezda vs Baník Ostrava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
BAN
3 - 1
CRV
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
CRV
8 - 1
HIB
97%
3%
1%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
HIB
1 - 2
CRV
24%
26%
51%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
CRV
0 - 1
INT
63%
23%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
INT
1 - 1
CRV
56%
24%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Baník Ostrava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
BAN
3 - 1
CRV
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
BAN
3 - 0
FTC
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
FTC
3 - 2
BAN
71%
17%
12%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1981 |
BAN
2 - 4
BYM
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1981 |
BYM
2 - 0
BAN
90%
7%
3%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |