Champions League 1/16
Global 8-0
Crvena Zvezda vs Dundalk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.5%
Win probability
3.95
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2%
7-0
3%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.1%
6-0
5.3%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
7.6%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
12.2%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.7%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.8%
5.8%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
5.8%
2.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
DUN
0 - 5
CRV
8%
20%
72%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1987 |
BRU
4 - 0
CRV
63%
20%
16%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1987 |
CRV
3 - 1
BRU
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
BOT
2 - 2
CRV
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
CRV
3 - 0
BOT
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Dundalk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 1988 |
DUN
0 - 5
CRV
8%
20%
72%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1987 |
DUN
0 - 2
AJA
12%
19%
68%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1987 |
AJA
4 - 0
DUN
96%
3%
1%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1982 |
LIV
1 - 0
DUN
92%
6%
2%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
DUN
1 - 4
LIV
10%
22%
69%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |