Cup Winners Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Crvena Zvezda vs Dinamo Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
CRV
2 - 1
SPA
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
SPA
1 - 1
CRV
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1971 |
CRV
1 - 2
KOM
88%
8%
4%
|
81 | 41 | 40 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
KOM
2 - 7
CRV
19%
20%
62%
|
81 | 42 | 39 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
PAN
3 - 0
CRV
44%
25%
31%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Dinamo Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1971 |
DIN
1 - 0
ESK
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1971 |
ESK
0 - 1
DIN
61%
21%
19%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1971 |
DIN
1 - 2
OLP
61%
21%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
OLP
0 - 2
DIN
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |