Crvena Zvezda vs FK Cukaricki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
4º
1º
28
2º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 56 |
2º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 48 |
3º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 47 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 46 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 45 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 44 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
28 | 43 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 37 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 37 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 35 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
24.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 32 |
14º
|
26.5% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 29 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 78.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 21.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
JED
0 - 4
CRV
9%
18%
73%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
NPA
1 - 7
CRV
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2024 |
ACM
2 - 1
CRV
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 97 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
CRV
6 - 0
TOD
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2024 |
CRV
3 - 1
TSC
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Cukaricki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
ČUK
0 - 1
BEO
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
VOJ
0 - 1
ČUK
44%
25%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
ČUK
1 - 2
FKS
66%
22%
13%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
2 - 2
ČUK
28%
26%
46%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
ČUK
27%
25%
48%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |