Crvena Zvezda vs FK Cukaricki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
24.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
94
1º
3º
1º
58
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
94 | 17 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
75 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
61 | 11 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 10 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 6 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 1 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Crvena Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 1
VOJ
54%
22%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
NAP
0 - 4
CRV
12%
21%
67%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
CRV
3 - 2
RAD
65%
19%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
MLA
0 - 1
CRV
21%
23%
57%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
CRV
2 - 1
BAC
52%
22%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FK Cukaricki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
ČUK
0 - 1
PAR
44%
24%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
BAC
2 - 0
ČUK
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
VOJ
2 - 3
ČUK
42%
25%
32%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
ČUK
2 - 0
NAP
74%
18%
8%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
ČUK
4 - 1
MLA
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |